Has anyone ever lost money on index funds?
While there are few certainties in the financial world, there's virtually no chance that an index fund will ever lose all of its value. One reason for this is that most index funds are highly diversified. They buy and hold identical weights of each stock in an index, such as the S&P 500.
As with all investments, it is possible to lose money in an index fund, but if you invest in an index fund and hold it over the long-term, it is likely that your investment will increase in value over time.
While they offer advantages like lower risk through diversification and long-term solid returns, index funds are also subject to market swings and lack the flexibility of active management.
Once you have $1 million in assets, you can look seriously at living entirely off the returns of a portfolio. After all, the S&P 500 alone averages 10% returns per year. Setting aside taxes and down-year investment portfolio management, a $1 million index fund could provide $100,000 annually.
It is true that most investors don't beat the returns of the S&P500, but it's not true that they can't. For one thing, if you pick S&P500 stocks at random you have a 50% chance of beating the index before fees and taxes—and it's easy for individuals to keep fees and taxes below even the no-fee ETFs and mutual funds.
It's easy to see why S&P 500 index funds are so popular with the billionaire investor class. The S&P 500 has a long history of delivering strong returns, averaging 9% annually over 150 years. In other words, it's hard to find an investment with a better track record than the U.S. stock market.
In 2002, the fallout from frenzied investments in internet technology companies and the subsequent implosion of the dot-com bubble caused the S&P 500 to drop 23.4%. And in 2008, the collapse of the U.S. housing market and the subsequent global financial crisis caused the S&P 500 to fall 38.5%.
Disadvantages include the lack of downside protection, no choice in index composition, and it cannot beat the market (by definition).
So while it's theoretically possible to lose everything, it doesn't happen for standard funds. That said, an index fund could underperform and lose money for years, depending on what it's invested in. But the odds that an index fund loses everything are very low.
- 9 Safest Index Funds and ETFs to buy in 2024. ...
- Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO 0.33%) ...
- Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF (VYM 0.83%) ...
- Vanguard Real Estate ETF (VNQ 0.72%) ...
- iShares Core S&P Total U.S. Stock Market ETF (ITOT 0.38%) ...
- Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLP 0.05%) ...
- iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF (SGOV 0.04%)
Can you be a millionaire from index funds?
Broadly diversified index funds can be your investment vehicle for a ride to becoming a millionaire retiree, if the stock market performs as it has in the past. If you know little about investing and have no desire to learn more, you still can be a successful investor. That's because you have the power of index funds.
However, an index fund does not have that flexibility as it has to be fully invested in the index at all points of time. While index funds are free from the fund manager bias, they are still vulnerable to the risk of tracking error. It is the extent to which the index fund does not track the index.
Historically, the stock market has an average annual rate of return between 10–12%. So if your $1 million is invested in good growth stock mutual funds, that means you could potentially live off of $100,000 to $120,000 each year without ever touching your one-million-dollar goose.
Nearly 57% of active U.S. equity funds survived and beat their average index peer over the 12 months through June 2023. Active U.S. small-cap funds succeeded at a better clip (65%) than large caps (53%), but it was a balanced effort: Eight of the nine U.S. stock categories posted active success rates higher than 50%.
While it's true that index funds have historically provided solid returns, it's important to remember that past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Blindly putting all of your savings into index funds without considering other investment options or your personal financial goals could be a mistake.
To be sure, if you have the time, knowledge, and desire to create a portfolio of individual stocks, by all means, go for it. But even if you do own individual stocks, index funds can form a solid base for your portfolio. Index funds offer investors of all skill levels a simple, successful way to invest.
In 2007, Buffett bet a million dollars that over the course of a decade, a simple S&P 500 index fund would outperform a basket of hand-picked hedge funds. He picked the Vanguard 500 Index Fund Admiral Shares (VFIAX). Hedge fund manager Ted Seides from Protégé Partners accepted the bet and picked five funds-of-funds.
Ramsey says index mutual funds can be a better buy than ETFs. Ramsey suggested that if you do want to engage in passive investing, you're better off doing it with an index mutual fund than with an ETF that tracks a market or financial index.
No Control Over Holdings
Indexes are set portfolios. If an investor buys an index fund, they have no control over the individual holdings in the portfolio. You may have specific companies that you like and want to own, such as a favorite bank or food company that you have researched and want to buy.
Think About This: $10,000 invested in the S&P 500 at the beginning of 2000 would have grown to $32,527 over 20 years — an average return of 6.07% per year.
What happens if S&P 500 goes to zero?
What happens when the Dow Jones, S&P 500, and the Nasdaq all go to 0 or negative points? It's really not possible for any of those stock indexes to ever drop to 0 points. They are designed especially to always increase in value over the long run.
Basic Info. S&P 500 10 Year Return is at 174.1%, compared to 171.8% last month and 162.1% last year. This is higher than the long term average of 114.2%.
Lack of Global Diversification
The S&P 500 is all US-domiciled companies that over the last ~40 years have accounted for ~50% of all global stocks. By just owning the S&P 500 you miss out on almost half of the global opportunity set which is another ~10,000 public companies.
The average stock market return is about 10% per year, as measured by the S&P 500 index, but that 10% average rate is reduced by inflation. Investors can expect to lose purchasing power of 2% to 3% every year due to inflation. » Learn more about purchasing power with NerdWallet's inflation calculator.
The S&P 500, through index funds from the likes of Vanguard and SPDR, provides long-term returns that have historically outpaced inflation.
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